📈🧠 In 1995, Charlie Munger, the renowned investor and Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, delivered a legendary lecture at Harvard not about investment strategies, but about the mental flaws that affect business decisions.
In this blog/podcast/video, we unravel Munger’s insightful guidance on avoiding cognitive biases and mental errors that can skew decision-making. Munger’s principles go beyond investing; they offer a blueprint for making smarter decisions in business and life.
🔍 What you’ll learn:
Overreaction to Loss: Understand why focusing too much on avoiding loss can lead to missing significant opportunities.
Inconsistency-Avoidance: How clinging to beliefs can blind you to vital information.
Availability-Misweighing: The dangers of oversimplifying complex situations.
Twaddle Tendency: Recognizing when information is fabricated or exaggerated.
Social-Proof Bias: The risk of following the crowd blindly.
Overoptimism Tendency: Managing unrealistic expectations and assessing risks accurately.
Reward and Punishment Superresponse: The underestimated influence of incentives in decision-making.
Pain-Avoiding Psychological Denial: The tendency to distort reality to protect the ego.
Influence-from-Association: Avoiding negative bias based on association.
Lollapalooza Tendency: Identifying when multiple mental flaws combine to create extreme outcomes.
Munger’s wisdom is a key to unlocking exceptional decision-making skills, as evidenced by his success with Berkshire Hathaway.
Join us as we delve into each of these principles, providing real-world examples and actionable insights. Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! #CharlieMunger #InvestmentPrinciples #CognitiveBiases #BusinessWisdom #BerkshireHathaway”
So, back in 1995, Harvard University invited Charlie Munger to give a lecture to its students. Now, one might assume that Munger, being the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and a highly respected figure in investing, would impart valuable insights on how to excel in the world of finance. But interestingly enough, Munger had a different approach. He focused on something far more important than investing advice – he delved into the realm of mental flaws that affect every single business decision we make.
See, our brains are fascinating organs that constantly take shortcuts when it comes to decision-making. It’s just the way we’re wired. But here’s the kicker – these shortcuts often lead us astray, tricking us into believing that our flawed thinking is actually accurate. So, what Munger recognized was that avoiding these mental flaws was the key to his success in building Berkshire Hathaway.
In Munger’s most famous lecture, he emphasized the significance of being able to see and, importantly, avoid these mental flaws. He believed that it was more critical than any specific investing advice he could give. So, what were these mental flaws that Munger warned his Harvard students about? Let’s dive into the ten most critical ones.
The first flaw is the overreaction to loss. We have a tendency to overemphasize loss rather than focusing on potential gains. Munger advised his students not to miss out on a big opportunity just because they wanted to avoid a small loss.
The second flaw is inconsistency-avoidance. When we hold a belief, we tend to identify with it strongly. As a result, any information that clashes with our beliefs appears twisted or distorted. Munger urged his students to see information for what it truly is, without letting their preexisting beliefs cloud their judgment.
Next up is availability-misweighing. Munger pointed out that the simplest answers to complex situations often become viral and widely accepted. However, just because others provide a single explanation for why something happens, it doesn’t mean that the whole picture has been revealed. Munger encouraged his students to assume that they could be missing important information whenever they are presented with only one response.
The fourth mental flaw is what Munger called the “twaddle tendency.” People have a knack for making things up as they go along, especially when they want to appear more intelligent than they actually are. Munger advised his students to be skeptical and assume that some percentage of any given explanation is simply fabricated.
Then there’s the social-proof bias. As humans, we often tend to follow the crowd and assume that popular ideas must be true. But Munger cautioned against this tendency, reminding his students that popularity doesn’t equate to accuracy. It’s important to think critically and not blindly follow the masses.
Moving on to the sixth flaw, Munger highlighted the overoptimism tendency. We humans have a tendency to be overly optimistic, which can cloud our judgment and make it difficult for us to accurately assess risks. Munger advised his students to seek a third-party perspective to evaluate the downside risks of their decisions.
The seventh mental flaw is what Munger termed the “reward and punishment superresponse.” Essentially, we underestimate the impact that incentives have on driving behavior. Before working with others, it’s crucial to understand their incentives and motivations.
Next up is the pain-avoiding psychological denial. When faced with an uncomfortable truth, we often skew our perception of reality to avoid the pain that accompanies it. While this may protect our ego in the short term, it ultimately hampers our decision-making process. Munger encouraged his students to confront uncomfortable truths head-on and base decisions on accurate information.
Influence-from-association is another mental flaw Munger highlighted. Essentially, when we associate an idea with something negative, we automatically assume that the idea itself is bad. Munger advised his students to look for valuable lessons even in ideas that others tend to avoid due to negative associations.
Lastly, there’s the lollapalooza tendency. When multiple mental flaws come into play together, they can amplify each other and lead to extreme outcomes. Munger urged his students to be vigilant for situations where multiple flaws might be at work, as they can significantly impact the logic behind decisions.
Now, here’s the thing – most people are not fully aware of just how much these mental flaws skew their decision-making processes. But Munger, with his exceptional ability to recognize and confront these flaws, was able to build Berkshire Hathaway into a powerhouse. So, the key takeaway here is to protect against these mental flaws in your own decision-making. By doing so, you can elevate yourself to the level of a top-notch decision-maker, just like Munger.
And with that, we’ve covered the ten critical mental flaws that Charlie Munger warned his Harvard students about. These flaws have the potential to significantly impact our decision-making, so it’s essential to be aware of them and actively work to counteract their influence.
Remember, decision-making is a multifaceted process, and understanding the common pitfalls can help us make better choices in both our personal and professional lives. So, take Munger’s wisdom to heart, and may your decision-making skills soar to new heights!
Oh, do I have a book recommendation for you! If you’re itching to delve deeper into the realm of artificial intelligence for investing, then look no further than “AI Unraveled: Demystifying Frequently Asked Questions on Artificial Intelligence.” Trust me, this book is an absolute must-read for anyone seeking to expand their understanding of AI in the world of investments.
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What sets “AI Unraveled” apart from other books on the subject is its ability to demystify the frequently asked questions surrounding artificial intelligence. It’s not just about grasping the concepts; it’s about unraveling the mysteries and making AI approachable for everyone.
The author brilliantly breaks down complex ideas into easily digestible nuggets of information. So, whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, you’ll find immense value in this book. With each turn of the page, you’ll uncover a wealth of insights that will empower you to make informed decisions in the world of AI-driven investments.
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So, if you’re ready to take your understanding of artificial intelligence for investing to the next level, don’t hesitate. Get yourself a copy of “AI Unraveled: Demystifying Frequently Asked Questions on Artificial Intelligence” and embark on an eye-opening journey into the world of AI-driven investments. Happy reading!
In this episode, we explored the importance of avoiding mental pitfalls in business decisions and recommended “AI Unraveled” as a comprehensive guide to AI investing. Thank you for joining us on the “Djamgatech Education” podcast, where we strive to ignite curiosity, foster lifelong learning, and keep you at the forefront of educational trends – so stay curious, stay informed, and stay tuned with Djamgatech Education!
For the current quarter, Adobe forecast adjusted earnings of $4.66 a share on sales of $5.53 billion. That's based on the midpoint of its outlook. Analysts were modeling earnings of $4.67 a share on sales of $5.6 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter. Adobe's guidance would translate to year-over-year growth of 9% in earnings and 10% in sales. https://www.reuters.com/technology/adobe-forecasts-downbeat-quarterly-earnings-cautious-tech-spending-2024-09-12/ submitted by /u/Much_Huckleberry_124 [link] [comments]
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GREED! That is all I can say. I know it’s not much to many in this subreddit but the euphoria and dread were very real for me. With that being said I will be back again next week submitted by /u/Addicted2Polo [link] [comments]
I managed to create the exact graph I’ve seen on here so many times. Hopefully this helps some fellow regards feel better. I am totally (not) going to withdraw this money and stop. submitted by /u/tinybiscuit6 [link] [comments]
Leaving a link here to those interested: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/futures-muted-uncertainty-fed-rate-101133976.html submitted by /u/yung_thomas [link] [comments]
As you know, Boeing has messed up again, and the ongoing work strike could last another 1-2 months, similar to the automotive strikes. This will likely drain Boeing’s cash flow by at least another $3 billion. Given they’re already operating with negative cash flow, any further bleed will push back their timeline to achieve positive cash flow. Keep in mind that the upcoming quarterly report is shaping up to be another nightmare for shareholders. The additional red tape in their production process, aimed at improving quality, is only going to slow things down further, leading to more delivery delays and cost increases. We can expect their losses to widen, cash flow to worsen, and it’s very likely the stock price will drop below $100 after the next quarterly results. So, put it is. https://preview.redd.it/a8dzzqthwjod1.png?width=345&format=png&auto=webp&s=f8a2eb2edf7accbf94d2811d23515c5f8e3ab5bb https://preview.redd.it/4tbl9c5jwjod1.png?width=1534&format=png&auto=webp&s=4aabc478b61a8f17322fe0d40c7394d6b61607a1 submitted by /u/Jimstyle888 [link] [comments]
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At the end of August this year, ASBC voted again in favor of IBA by 21–14. Yesterday, the Swiss Federal Tribunal has rejected the International Boxing Association's (IBA) appeal on the Court Arbitration of Sport's (CAS) and the International Olympic Committee's (IOC) decision to strip recognition of IBA as governing body of olympic boxing events. (Still looking for other articles about this...) submitted by /u/gho87 [link] [comments]